{"id":6167,"date":"2009-08-19T11:05:06","date_gmt":"2009-08-19T11:05:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lavanguardiadecuenca.es\/?p=6167"},"modified":"2009-08-19T11:05:06","modified_gmt":"2009-08-19T11:05:06","slug":"el-fmi-reconoce-que-la-recuperacion-economica-mundial-ha-comenzado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lavanguardiadecuenca.es\/?p=6167","title":{"rendered":"El FMI reconoce que la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica mundial ha comenzado"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/jabuedo.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d8341c734753ef0120a55ada09970c-pi\" style=\"FLOAT: left\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Blanchard\" border=\"0\" class=\"at-xid-6a00d8341c734753ef0120a55ada09970c\" src=\"https:\/\/jabuedo.typepad.com\/.a\/6a00d8341c734753ef0120a55ada09970c-800wi\" style=\"MARGIN: 0px 5px 5px 0px\" title=\"Blanchard\" \/><\/a> (Publicado en <em>la naci\u00f3n.es<\/em>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lanacion.es\/economia\/2009081817037\/el-fmi-reconoce-que-la-recuperacion-economica-mundial-ha-comenzado\">aqu\u00ed<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>El <strong>economista jefe del FMI, Olivier Blanchard,<\/strong> reconoci\u00f3 hoy que la<strong> recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica global ha comenzad<\/strong>o, aunque advirti\u00f3 de que para que \u00e9sta sea sostenida se necesitar\u00e1 reequilibrar la demanda entre los pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; En un informe sobre la sostenibilidad de la recuperaci\u00f3n global, Blanchard alerta de que la<strong> actual recesi\u00f3n global est\u00e1 lejos de ser convencional,<\/strong> por lo que es dif\u00edcilmente predecible su evoluci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; Blanchard recalca que, usualmente, durante los <strong>periodos de crisis se reducen los tipos de inter\u00e9s para incentivar demanda y producci\u00f3n<\/strong>. Los consumidores comienzan a comprar bienes duraderos y las firmas comienzan a ejecutar proyectos de inversi\u00f3n retrasados. Adem\u00e1s, los<strong> recortes en el precio del dinero suelen dar margen a las exportaciones, al hacerlas m\u00e1s baratas.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; No obstante, la recesi\u00f3n actual &quot;no es simple&quot; y su superaci\u00f3n, tampoco lo ser\u00e1, pronostica Blanchard, quien augura que sus efectos sobre suministro y demanda persistir\u00e1n &quot;por muchos a\u00f1os&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; <strong>&quot;Algunas partes del sistema econ\u00f3mico se han roto<\/strong>. Algunas firmas que fueron a la bancarrota no lo habr\u00edan tenido que hacer en una recesi\u00f3n normal. En los pa\u00edses desarrollados, los sistemas financieros presentan disfuncionalidades y llevar\u00e1 mucho tiempo que encuentren su nueva forma&quot;, recuerda el economista.<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; Blanchard asegura que los cambios en la composici\u00f3n de la demanda mundial y el giro que ha dado el consumo desde los pa\u00edses avanzados hacia las econom\u00edas emergentes requieren <strong>cambios en la estructura de producci\u00f3n<\/strong>, y afirma que<strong> no se puede dar marcha atr\u00e1s hacia los antiguos modelos de crecimiento <\/strong>ya que el potencial de la producci\u00f3n podr\u00eda ser menor del que era antes de la crisis econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;&#0160; &quot;El crecimiento no ser\u00e1 lo suficientemente fuerte como para reducir el desempleo, del que no se espera que repunte hasta alg\u00fan momento del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o&quot;, explic\u00f3 el economista, quien alerta sobre los riesgos de fundamentar la recuperaci\u00f3n en los est\u00edmulos fiscales, ya que &quot;tarde o temprano&quot; tendr\u00e1n que ser retirados.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Publicado en la naci\u00f3n.es, aqu\u00ed) El economista jefe del FMI, Olivier Blanchard, reconoci\u00f3 hoy que la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica global ha comenzado, aunque advirti\u00f3 de que para que \u00e9sta sea sostenida se necesitar\u00e1 reequilibrar la demanda entre los pa\u00edses. &#0160;&#0160; En un informe sobre la sostenibilidad de la recuperaci\u00f3n global, Blanchard alerta de que la actual&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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